Trend Still UP unless

I will just post some charts, many say we are at a turn area but hasn't happened yet. We need to close below some of these numbers.

We have a sell on the parabolic. (my settings)


Red week can offer a trend change..............................

Gann Box at turn level but of course it can higher...

The 15degree high finder has offerings here too.

The bootm line no trend change yet but on high alert. Jerry

Trend Change Pending

Trend change if we close under 1277.92 Spx
This chart offers a view of what could happen Friday since volume has followed this same 5 day pattern of 11-16 taking us to 1262 spx support.

click chart to enlarge.

Update on bar count

The bar today was more bearish than expected. I have been saying to any one that would listen we will mount a rally Thursday. The way I see it. POP the open , HOD by 9:45ET, then down 10+ SPX points, mid day, to recover to close.
Today Vix went over 17, I said we would be lower if that happened. watch it.
Isee was too Bearish 86 = bullish 1 day
Trin 2.31 bearish = bullish 1 day
Upvolume 11% =Bullish 1 day
The trin,isee,upvol and you match up with 5-18, or 8-19. We mount an afternoon rally I would say it is shorted.

Trend Still UP unless

UPDATE 1-18 today vs my drawing lower on this page- So good So far.


We need to take some of these target if a turn down is in store 1269

Here we have a bar count from my video. Since this is still imagined it should go something like this. Closing near high of day a MUST as we did Friday 1-14-2011 showing great optimism.
So the next bar as shown should look like this.

This bar 2 is the most important as described.


What is bar 2 fails and we have a blow off top? It would still have this pattern leading to that blow off. But must close lower than bar 2 and 3


Click charts to expand. Recap: You must see a pattern something like this or the count starts all over again. In our minds we think markets run up and crash but not really there are clues.
This is one clue.................................... Jerry O

Trend still up

Trend Still UP unless 1260/62 falls

Dates of interest! We have the -1-13-11 with 8,110 and 144 TDL hits
Next is 1-26 a 144TDH from that serious 1010 low
Next we have 2-18/22 with the MOB chart picking that time cluster

click charts to expand --- MOB with fib angles crossing ,matching MOB date.
Fun with Gann lines and a pitchfork. Congestion, early sell on parabolic indicator( I put speed to it)

Going to need a close below 1262.xx Spx

to get any thing going on the downside.

1249 would be trouble.

I don't expect that area on the Spx Wednesday.
Mondays thrust was bullish, yes. Had Tuesday had some following up and pulled back that would have been bearish.
The way I see the price bars, Tuesday was an inside day and bullish enough after a lower open to at least challenge the Monday high.
Like to think the high of week will come Friday am. point 8.
Jerry

Pressure building

Pressure building for a move up/down.

Trending model has moved up to 1247.73 with in 10 points of the close.
We stay above 1258 Spx we are alright. A close below 1253 a warning then 1247 a sell.

Personally I think 1283 is to be tested.
Jerry

My 2011 Outlook

Click image to expand.