FEED THE FISH click in water

Sunday, April 27, 2014

April /May 2nd

Thursday model said Fri would be down. Now Friday model is saying Monday down.
A simple model says Monday low is also a buy.
How low??
The Spx  100 sma is @ 1835. P&F has 1850.
If we look at my zig-zag wave chart I have 1845 as strong support based on b and d. As alway the opening gap is usually the day leader.  I would like to see us plunge to the close.





















Wednesday, April 23, 2014

Wed-Thur-Fri

Nice if we hit resistance of Spx 1884.89 yesterday high and fail.
Earning are supposed to be sour as time goes on, does the market look ahead?
Model not all that telling except an o-b signal.
I have to get my car inspected and have a Dr. so will watch from mobile one.    later review if possible.  Jerry
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12:30 PMModel not impressed today. If we can't go down more than what we have seen then a rally tomorrow is very possible.
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Late report: 3:55pm I bought a call oex.
Model still saying todays action was bullish for Thursday.
I notice we have a TD high Friday. The highs should be in very soon-days.
Any time now.

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Thursday  1pm  Model looking for a down day tomorrow (Fri)  If we hold this area. Will  retest at 3:30 today. Jerry
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Thurs 3:40pm still pointing to down tomorrow after a CIT high.
Last 5m vol rush can change everything.

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Week 21st to 25th 4April 2014

Tuesday AM model not found with this  low a number -207.50
Considering I have data back to December 2006 .
So need a little more time . Futures are +


10:10 am live test for Jerry
Not trading advise Bought a oex put 835 with 10 td expire at $8.00
Spx 1880.   Second overbought signal. High with in 7 TD

3:30  having data issues and Verizon.
"Second overbought signal. High with in 7 TD"

Saturday, April 19, 2014

Daily Updates check back.

ok bought apr oex 830 and may 830 puts, see what happens. 4pm

3:40  Model is looking for a high in 1 to 8 days.
If we close near high will start to buy a put .
Suggest to get a 10 day out put.




10:45 am Mkt is tepid hitting neither target. Looks like we will get a 1-8 TD signal of a pending high. Will confirm at 3:30pm ish report.
Standing aside-Jerry




 4/21/14        Model looks tepid. Suggest if we take out  Thursday low buy 1 call in money.
If we take out Thursday high better yet 1872.xx then probably a put.
Give gap a lot of weight. POMO highest of week Monday..











Hi,
 Have been working on a daily timing model, and a 3-8 day look ahead.
Will try to post daily. Currently go with Monday gap open.


Some charts to look at. This shows a buy signal but what will happen at down trend line?



click charts to enlarge.
Wave 5 higher is what is called.

Neither chart has anything to do with my daily view but how we get there. Where ever there is.


Will not be trading advise. USe with your own work.

Saturday, April 12, 2014

Holiday and 1790

Several ways to get to 1780-1790

Click chart to enlarge


The next SMA would be 1790


150 SMA














Even P&F has 1780
But lookie here.
f this P& F of the Vix = 22 then the drop will be much bigger maybe the 1732 I have on first chart.




Will this happen Moday no I don't think we do more than 1808 then rally perhaps to short at close.
I do have a TD Low Wednesday but somehow it won't be the final low!

Recap-----No it didn't happen as a higher open hit, making the scenario wrong. I give a good view that I looked for minor weakness at open considering may were very bearish.   4-19-14
Jerry Timingshortterm.group

Monday, April 7, 2014

DO SMA's count?

CLICK CHARTS TO ENLARGE.

TWO MAJOR AVERAGES CLOSED ON THE 150 sma and one on the 50SMA

WE can only guess that resistance will come at 100SMA and 25 SMA.

I don't think we just plunge from here but if you look lower at my work I do offer a 14TD low.
It would be rare to hit a high then plunge to unreasonable deep levels.

Earning will be under pressure this coming quarter so expect the worst.


Jerry


Timingshortterm@yahoo groups
BTW the Dow and  Spy didn't reach even the 50SMA.



Sunday, April 6, 2014

Correction or Healthy rotation?


First off Friday drop did no technical damage that I can see. This probably is just a rotation of stocks.
If more then a rotation here are a few scenarios.
* If a wave 3 then a pull back to 1844 to 1857 is common.
Looking for more deeper correction then look at the 14TD examples and grey trend line.
So a 14TD pull back to 4 -24 could be in the cards of at least 113 points or somewhere in the 1791 area..
A real model buster is 1732

With this market the buy the dip crowd probably have orders placed.
Could be a 3rd wave or a 5th wave but more action is needed.

Thursday, April 3, 2014

My EW thoughts

Sure futures are strong at 11pm Thursday but still this chart if true has a look.


http://money.cnn.com/data/premarket/?iid=H_MKT_QL


Using the 2% and 3% zig-zag for EW count.

DeMark 11 count?

This software suggest a Demark 11 count for today Wednesday the 3rd of April

Saturday, March 15, 2014

Fractal if big down Monday

If we have a big down Monday March 17th than I look for 1772 by March 28 +/-1 TD..Following the 150SMA like last time (purple fractal)... Last week I looked for 1850Spx and we got more, 1850 is now 1st resistance.

Jerry O 
timingshortterm@ yahoo groups  --you need 5 years experience to join! We have 2 Astro experts,2 EWT experts,several timing and many math experts. Indices usually but always looking for a new Guru.
                      Not always 99% pure.