Sunday Oct 10-2010
Trend Model
Long term ----up
Med term------up
Short term----up
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Pressure -- up--topping
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Mechanial model --Dn
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*Isee model--- up-topping
Review
Friday was so flat as far as tick and trin compared to pressure
that I'm not sure what it means. No history to review.
TD hits 55 TD L 13th from 7-27H, 55TD H from 7-30 L
Oct 26th 89 and 55TDL
Oct 25thL sub divide 144/ =TDL see chart way below.
*The Isee
In 2007 to 2009 confirmed tops where at 500+ and bottoms -290
In 2010 some thing changed and that number will remain with me, since
I have done a lot of back testing.
Sunday, October 10, 2010
Thursday, October 7, 2010
Quiet before the storm
Going back to April I can't find a day like today as far as pressure,tick and trin combo.
Have to report that mechanical is still on a sell and trend is on a buy less 1137 SPX falls.
Jerry
Have to report that mechanical is still on a sell and trend is on a buy less 1137 SPX falls.
Jerry
Wednesday, October 6, 2010
More smoke and mirrors
Today Wed 6th was a lot like 7/27/2010. On that day back on 7-27-2010 with pressure,tick and trin similar. If that is the case we should have a lower day Thursday.
Smoke and Mirrors by the Fed.
I look for a 1day 1/2 pullback.
If yesterday was the 23rd, today was the 24th. Similar pressure,tick and trin.
If yesterday was the 23rd, today was the 24th. Similar pressure,tick and trin.
Tuesday, October 5, 2010
On watch
My latest number based on Monday action has moved the aggressive sell to 1135 spx. from 1132.
My model see's nothing else.
Technically today had a 9-23 look with the tick,trin and pressure at similar levels but not exactly.
So a hugh gap up could cool the down side so be on watch. Remember my buy or sells are based on the close number. I think 1141 is a pivot and barcharts has resistance at 1146.17.
My best guess is we have a weak open and low PM close.
Jerry
My model see's nothing else.
Technically today had a 9-23 look with the tick,trin and pressure at similar levels but not exactly.
So a hugh gap up could cool the down side so be on watch. Remember my buy or sells are based on the close number. I think 1141 is a pivot and barcharts has resistance at 1146.17.
My best guess is we have a weak open and low PM close.
Jerry
Sunday, October 3, 2010
Sell alert Imminent !
Based on my Friday warning and further study I think we are ready to fall.
Upside pressure have been waning on my pressure model not shown.
First up is my mechanical sell system chart from excel click any image to enlarge.You will notice in 10 days we have a magnet at 1141 and a break of that could be real early confirmation.
Next up is my trending model excel sheet and how important 1132 spx is for a signal in test mode.
Next we have a my TD counts and sub counts, based on this I look for lows ahead as posted in chart.
We then have my AGET ew count, several fractals with their out comes,and then the MACD indicator with standard setting and my setting.
Now of course we are at such and area that I could be fooled.
Jerry- Good Luck..................................
Upside pressure have been waning on my pressure model not shown.
First up is my mechanical sell system chart from excel click any image to enlarge.You will notice in 10 days we have a magnet at 1141 and a break of that could be real early confirmation.
Next up is my trending model excel sheet and how important 1132 spx is for a signal in test mode.
Next we have a my TD counts and sub counts, based on this I look for lows ahead as posted in chart.
We then have my AGET ew count, several fractals with their out comes,and then the MACD indicator with standard setting and my setting.
Now of course we are at such and area that I could be fooled.Jerry- Good Luck..................................
Friday, October 1, 2010
Friday Oct 1st 2010
My trend model on a close basis has an aggressive sell at 1126 Spx. We could clearly have some serious damage if we close below 1131.89 putting me on a sell for Monday then.
Trend is UP till we confirm a CIT (change in trend )
I don't understand why many EW guru's have the market going sideways for 3 to 5 more days?
Guess we will find out!
Trend is UP till we confirm a CIT (change in trend )
I don't understand why many EW guru's have the market going sideways for 3 to 5 more days?
Guess we will find out!
Wednesday, September 29, 2010
update at 3:30
I have been out all day and just returning.
Based on spx at 1142.76 I get an aggressive sell at 1126.
If the market dips into close that 1126 should move up point for point.
Still looking for a major low 11-16 based on the 144TDL cycle
Based on spx at 1142.76 I get an aggressive sell at 1126.
If the market dips into close that 1126 should move up point for point.
Still looking for a major low 11-16 based on the 144TDL cycle
Tuesday, September 28, 2010
Latest update
Just updating from yesterday vacation mode :)
Aggressive sell for today spx 1119
For Wed based on 3:37 Today @1146.52 aggressive sell spx 1123
Aggressive sell for today spx 1119
For Wed based on 3:37 Today @1146.52 aggressive sell spx 1123
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