Tuesday, October 3, 2017

Where we are at.

Monday, June 5, 2017

Resistance


It was an inside day I consider bullish but will go with Aget and this Chart.

Sunday, June 4, 2017

Short term top?

Advanced Get with 5 of V on June 2nd 2017


Friday, May 19, 2017

Cycle watch 22/26

Update- Sunday-  Goodness 7 up days in a row, did any one have that on their radar?
I guess I will have to see how this plays out till jobs number Friday. 

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Cycle watch- was 16th 17th big enough ?
I felt they would be up big unless they inverted and yes they inverted. I tried to buy OEx in the money calls both on the 17th close and the 18th open but 0 volume.

Week of  22-26 I have the 22nd double digit move dn and the 26th double digit move up polarity one up one down or inverted.
Jerry

Thursday, May 11, 2017

VIx is bullish 16th 17th???




May 16th -17th  on watch cycle!
Disclaimer: For fun and games use with your own work.
Short Term trading.
The week of May 15th to 19th or option expiration week with Oex as the lead group.
Using my color day pattern I see Monday down with Tuesday and Wed  as big rally days.
You should know by Monday close where we are going.

This is based on a cycle  ( my hidden cycle ) , of course with cycles it could
invert  IE: Tuesday Wed down big.

Read more about color days on this web site search delta-phenomenon.
Not a member noted as a courtesy only.
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The Vix and the top. I will attach the csv data for the vix showing the low vix of 9.97 both in Nov and Dec 2006 or 223 trade days to the top in 10-11-2007. The vix at that point in time was 18.xx. If you measure it from the Dec 06 low then less trade days but still a long way from a top
There is no top near with vix this low! Look for the top  in 2018. Will offer more later.
Jerry O
oops no data files aloud.

Sunday, May 7, 2017

One more rally




Looking for 2450 mid May



Monday will be interesting. Can you get any more overbought?

Monday, April 10, 2017

April 19,20,21 look bad

The time has come, could I be right?















 Dotted lines show weakness, and fits the 16 TD count I speak of in below charts.
Next week should show great weakness I think starting Wed. not investment advise.

















First lets look over this week.
10th -UP
11th-UP
12th-DN
13th-DN
Ahead:


Wednesday, March 1, 2017

March 2017

http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/?iid=H_MKT_QL
Gap UP I said , yes it did. Then my call for Monday happened PLUNGE.
Caught me off guard. See if we get a buy the dip rally.
No prediction, but indicator say gap down open

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Tuesday- No gap up nor did market do much all day.
Tuesday I look for a gap up again, mid day low would be bullish.

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Update Monday Mar 20th
Scenario Either we have an FBI rally or FREE Trade is Gone plunge
Lost charts at Stockcharts.com  ( who knew they could disappear) but here is what I have technically. GAP UP looks promising with a low at point 9 ( centered 11:15 +/15m) for a happy ending or
Point 8 is low and we have a bad ending.
I can’t agree with Oexcash that pt 7 is in a green day, so put in your opinion, anyone..
Jerry



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So far in 2017 as far as Advanced Get buy signals we have had a peak 16TD later, next one April 3rd.
 I have attached a 5 minute chart that shows the RSI divergence on Fri chart. You won't see that on time frames above 5 minutes.
BTW Advanced Get offers a buy signal Fri suggesting the Fed will be a buy the news event.

 

 CAUGHT THE 1:05 LOW FOR A FEW $$$
Monday  13th look for a gap dn open

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Looking for a gap down open Friday on jobs number, a gift if it happens.
I also look for a 50 point spx rally that probably started today Thursday at 2:10 2:15 
Today Thursday is 8 years from the 2009 low
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Gap dn it was with high AM in same window.
I look for AM rally Friday since we had a bullish close. Trouble so did mkt makers with $6-$8 speads .
Bought nothing
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Looked for a gap up and window dressing since it was March 1st, we got both.
Mar 2 nd have  3 indicators offering a gap dn and 1 a gap up. So no real call but think it will be an AM high day and then back and fill.
We have been OB but that means nothing.

Thursday, February 2, 2017

Feb. 2017 4.94% model

Looking for gap up Wednesday Mar 1st
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Friday closed very O.B. I look for a gap down in the shot term open. Now how over bought are we? Here is a chart of the 4.94% model. As you can see it can come quick or run for a few months like July -Aug 2016.
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Not a gap down but in a few minutes it went down.     Here is a shot of the low at 11:15 cross over.
 For Friday i look for a gap down open. Will watch for AM high.

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Just keeps climbing. Look for gap down open for Thursday
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Looking for an AM high for Wed.
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Friday couldn't rally fast enough.
Monday a bonus rally . For Tuesday I look for a gap dn open but an AM H
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New highs! Thursday looked like a gap up and it was. Friday looks again like a gap up. It's an AM Low day so we could again rally all day.
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 Sure was wrong about Tuesday. Looks to gap down Wed but should be a hi AM day.
I said we would see lower before 2300 SPX still true so far. Money still coming out of bonds. 
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Tuesday looks to gap down again. I don't see the bullishness or follow through from Friday.
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 Well Friday jobs number was a surprise. Surprised that it didn't take out SPX 2300..
BOP = (Close – Open)/(High – Low)*5   This tells me we at least near a ST high.
Monday is S2B-- Either Fri was the ST high or we see it Monday....!

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Update Thursday flat again not very telling. I still look for a correction. Why, earnings are 53% out, and bad earning come last. Fed speak is done. So what is the push higher? I can't think of anything long lasting.
Indicators look for Friday to gap down. I believe we will see 2233 spx/ 2200/ before we see 2300 again

Jerry
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The 1/2 way  point and strong resistance is Spx 2284.10


No matching buy on bottom indicator 2PM ET



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Flat day, tried to correct but Apple held it up. Indicator are mixed.
I hope to see us down as the EOM rally has been weak.