Trending the SP500 SPX using proprietary cycles. A mechanical program (excel formula's) and the use of Advanced Get (Elliot waves) to both visually show what my spread sheet offers and how Advanced Get understands it. I'm also using a MOON COUNT that has been working nicely! Use at your own risk to supplement your own work. Jerry
Tuesday, October 3, 2017
Monday, June 5, 2017
Sunday, June 4, 2017
Friday, May 19, 2017
Cycle watch 22/26
Update- Sunday- Goodness 7 up days in a row, did any one have that on their radar?
I guess I will have to see how this plays out till jobs number Friday.
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Cycle watch- was 16th 17th big enough ?
I felt they would be up big unless they inverted and yes they inverted. I tried to buy OEx in the money calls both on the 17th close and the 18th open but 0 volume.
Week of 22-26 I have the 22nd double digit move dn and the 26th double digit move up polarity one up one down or inverted.
Jerry
I guess I will have to see how this plays out till jobs number Friday.
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Cycle watch- was 16th 17th big enough ?
I felt they would be up big unless they inverted and yes they inverted. I tried to buy OEx in the money calls both on the 17th close and the 18th open but 0 volume.
Week of 22-26 I have the 22nd double digit move dn and the 26th double digit move up polarity one up one down or inverted.
Jerry
Thursday, May 11, 2017
VIx is bullish 16th 17th???
May 16th -17th on watch cycle!
Disclaimer: For fun and games use with your own work.
Short Term trading.
The week of May 15th to 19th or option expiration
week with Oex as the lead group.
Using my color day pattern I see Monday down with Tuesday
and Wed as big rally days.
You should know by Monday close where we are going.
This is based on a cycle
( my hidden cycle ) , of course
with cycles it could
invert IE: Tuesday
Wed down big.
Read more about color days on this web site search delta-phenomenon.
Not a member noted as a courtesy only.
*******************************************************************************The Vix and the top. I will attach the csv data for the vix showing the low vix of 9.97 both in Nov and Dec 2006 or 223 trade days to the top in 10-11-2007. The vix at that point in time was 18.xx. If you measure it from the Dec 06 low then less trade days but still a long way from a top
There is no top near with vix this low! Look for the top in 2018. Will offer more later.
Jerry O
oops no data files aloud.
Sunday, May 7, 2017
One more rally
Looking for 2450 mid May
Monday will be
interesting. Can you get any more overbought?
Monday, April 10, 2017
April 19,20,21 look bad
The time has come, could I be right?
Dotted lines show weakness, and fits the 16 TD count I speak of in below charts.
Next week should show great weakness I think starting Wed. not investment advise.
First lets look over this week.
10th -UP
11th-UP
12th-DN
13th-DN
Ahead:
Dotted lines show weakness, and fits the 16 TD count I speak of in below charts.
Next week should show great weakness I think starting Wed. not investment advise.
First lets look over this week.
10th -UP
11th-UP
12th-DN
13th-DN
Ahead:
Wednesday, March 1, 2017
March 2017
http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/?iid=H_MKT_QL
Gap UP I said , yes it did. Then my call for Monday happened PLUNGE.
Caught me off guard. See if we get a buy the dip rally.
No prediction, but indicator say gap down open
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Tuesday- No gap up nor did market do much all day.
Tuesday I look for a gap up again, mid day low would be bullish.
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So far in 2017 as far as Advanced Get buy signals we have had a peak 16TD later, next one April 3rd.
I have attached a 5 minute chart that shows the RSI divergence on Fri chart. You won't see that on time frames above 5 minutes.
BTW Advanced Get offers a buy signal Fri suggesting the Fed will be a buy the news event.
CAUGHT THE 1:05 LOW FOR A FEW $$$
Monday 13th look for a gap dn open
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Looking for a gap down open Friday on jobs number, a gift if it happens.
I also look for a 50 point spx rally that probably started today Thursday at 2:10 2:15
Today Thursday is 8 years from the 2009 low
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Gap dn it was with high AM in same window.
I look for AM rally Friday since we had a bullish close. Trouble so did mkt makers with $6-$8 speads .
Bought nothing
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Looked for a gap up and window dressing since it was March 1st, we got both.
Mar 2 nd have 3 indicators offering a gap dn and 1 a gap up. So no real call but think it will be an AM high day and then back and fill.
We have been OB but that means nothing.
Gap UP I said , yes it did. Then my call for Monday happened PLUNGE.
Caught me off guard. See if we get a buy the dip rally.
No prediction, but indicator say gap down open
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Tuesday- No gap up nor did market do much all day.
Tuesday I look for a gap up again, mid day low would be bullish.
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Update Monday Mar 20th
Scenario Either we have an FBI rally
or FREE Trade is Gone plunge
Lost charts at Stockcharts.com ( who knew they could disappear) but here is
what I have technically. GAP UP looks promising with a low at point 9 (
centered 11:15 +/15m) for a happy ending or
Point 8 is low and we have a bad ending.
I can’t agree with Oexcash that pt 7 is in a green day, so
put in your opinion, anyone..
Jerry
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So far in 2017 as far as Advanced Get buy signals we have had a peak 16TD later, next one April 3rd.
I have attached a 5 minute chart that shows the RSI divergence on Fri chart. You won't see that on time frames above 5 minutes.
BTW Advanced Get offers a buy signal Fri suggesting the Fed will be a buy the news event.
CAUGHT THE 1:05 LOW FOR A FEW $$$
Monday 13th look for a gap dn open
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Looking for a gap down open Friday on jobs number, a gift if it happens.
I also look for a 50 point spx rally that probably started today Thursday at 2:10 2:15
Today Thursday is 8 years from the 2009 low
****************************************************************************
Gap dn it was with high AM in same window.
I look for AM rally Friday since we had a bullish close. Trouble so did mkt makers with $6-$8 speads .
Bought nothing
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Looked for a gap up and window dressing since it was March 1st, we got both.
Mar 2 nd have 3 indicators offering a gap dn and 1 a gap up. So no real call but think it will be an AM high day and then back and fill.
We have been OB but that means nothing.
Thursday, February 2, 2017
Feb. 2017 4.94% model
Looking for gap up Wednesday Mar 1st
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Friday closed very O.B. I look for a gap down in the shot term open. Now how over bought are we? Here is a chart of the 4.94% model. As you can see it can come quick or run for a few months like July -Aug 2016.
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Not a gap down but in a few minutes it went down. Here is a shot of the low at 11:15 cross over.
For Friday i look for a gap down open. Will watch for AM high.
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Just keeps climbing. Look for gap down open for Thursday
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Looking for an AM high for Wed.
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Friday couldn't rally fast enough.
Monday a bonus rally . For Tuesday I look for a gap dn open but an AM H
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New highs! Thursday looked like a gap up and it was. Friday looks again like a gap up. It's an AM Low day so we could again rally all day.
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Sure was wrong about Tuesday. Looks to gap down Wed but should be a hi AM day.
I said we would see lower before 2300 SPX still true so far. Money still coming out of bonds.
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Tuesday looks to gap down again. I don't see the bullishness or follow through from Friday.
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Well Friday jobs number was a surprise. Surprised that it didn't take out SPX 2300..
Update Thursday flat again not very telling. I still look for a correction. Why, earnings are 53% out, and bad earning come last. Fed speak is done. So what is the push higher? I can't think of anything long lasting.
Indicators look for Friday to gap down. I believe we will see 2233 spx/ 2200/ before we see 2300 again
Jerry
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The 1/2 way point and strong resistance is Spx 2284.10
No matching buy on bottom indicator 2PM ET
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Flat day, tried to correct but Apple held it up. Indicator are mixed.
I hope to see us down as the EOM rally has been weak.
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Friday closed very O.B. I look for a gap down in the shot term open. Now how over bought are we? Here is a chart of the 4.94% model. As you can see it can come quick or run for a few months like July -Aug 2016.
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Not a gap down but in a few minutes it went down. Here is a shot of the low at 11:15 cross over.
For Friday i look for a gap down open. Will watch for AM high.
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Just keeps climbing. Look for gap down open for Thursday
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Looking for an AM high for Wed.
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Friday couldn't rally fast enough.
Monday a bonus rally . For Tuesday I look for a gap dn open but an AM H
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New highs! Thursday looked like a gap up and it was. Friday looks again like a gap up. It's an AM Low day so we could again rally all day.
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Sure was wrong about Tuesday. Looks to gap down Wed but should be a hi AM day.
I said we would see lower before 2300 SPX still true so far. Money still coming out of bonds.
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Tuesday looks to gap down again. I don't see the bullishness or follow through from Friday.
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Well Friday jobs number was a surprise. Surprised that it didn't take out SPX 2300..
| BOP = (Close – Open)/(High – Low)*5 This tells me we at least near a ST high. Monday is S2B-- Either Fri was the ST high or we see it Monday....! |
| ************************************************************************** |
Indicators look for Friday to gap down. I believe we will see 2233 spx/ 2200/ before we see 2300 again
Jerry
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The 1/2 way point and strong resistance is Spx 2284.10
No matching buy on bottom indicator 2PM ET
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Flat day, tried to correct but Apple held it up. Indicator are mixed.
I hope to see us down as the EOM rally has been weak.
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